Sanity Africa is a Pan-African civil society organization committed to promoting inclusive and accountable governance through citizen-led democratic processes.
Sanity Africa conducts business surveys, governance policy papers and risk analysis for individuals, organizations and government instituttions. Sanity Africa also conducts political polling and opinion polls on national issues.
One of Sanity Africa’s recent pollining work was the accurate prediction of the Akwatia parlimentary bye-election which was won by the National Democratic Congress.
Between October 2025 and January 2026, we conducted a survey to assess the voting intentions of delegates of the New Patriotic Party (NPP) ahead of their upcoming presidential primaries.
This represents Phase Three of a three-part voter intention survey scheduled ahead of the January 2026 elections. The Phase One report was released in July 2025, and Phase Two in October 2025.
The survey aims to assess the overall voting intentions of NPP delegates based on the expected expanded voter album, which includes former government appointees and past party executives.
A weighted sample of fifteen thousand (15,000) delegates, drawn from all two hundred and seventy-six (276) constituencies, was selected from an estimated expanded delegate album of approximately two hundred and eleven thousand (211,000) delagates.
The sampling was conducted at a 99% confidence level with a margin of error of 5%.
The survey covered the five main individuals contesting in the upcoming presidential primaries: Hon. Kennedy Ohene Agyapong (Ken), Dr. Bawumia (DMB), Dr. Osei Yaw Adutwum (Adutwum), Dr. Bryan Acheampong (Bryan), and ING. Kwabena A. Agyepong (Kwabena).
Overall Voter Preference – NPP Flagbearer
Overall, Ken leads with 52.0% (51.98), followed by DMB with 40.0% (40.02).
They are trailed by Bryan with 7.0%, Adutwum with 0.7%, and Kwabena with 0.3%. Compared to Phase Two in October, Ken has lost 1.1 percentage points, while DMB has gained 1.0 percentage point.
Bryan has seen a notable increase of 2.0 percentage points, Adutwum a decline of 1.3 percentage points, and Kwabena a decrease from 0.9% to 0.3%.
Sanity Africa’s Phase Three voter intention survey offers a critical snapshot of the evolving dynamics within the New Patriotic Party (NPP) ahead of its presidential primaries.
The findings reveal a continued lead for Hon. Kennedy Ohene Agyapong (Ken) with 52.0%, followed by Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia (DMB) at 40.0%, while the remaining contenders trail with single-digit support.
Notably, Ken has slightly declined since Phase Two, while DMB has seen a modest recovery and Bryan continues to gain momentum, underscoring the fluid nature of delegate sentiment.
This final phase of the survey not only captures current voter intentions but also serves as a benchmark for tracking shifts influenced by campaign strategies, endorsements, regional dynamics, and candidate messaging.
